Arnaud Cazan

Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A)

Every year, thousands of companies merge or get acquired for trillions of dollars combined. Yet studies consistently find that most deals fail to deliver their promised value. This Fundamental breaks down how M&A actually works: why companies pursue deals, what due diligence really uncovers, why synergies are so often overpromised, and what separates the transactions that create lasting value from those that quietly destroy it.

Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) Read More »

The US is paying more in interest on its debt than it spends on defense. Moody’s has delivered its verdict.

For the first time since the 1990s, US net interest payments on the federal debt exceed the entire national defense budget: $952 billion versus $886 billion. On May 16, 2025, Moody’s stripped the US of its triple-A, the last of the three major rating agencies to do so. A signal markets already knew. A mechanism most people have never seen explained.

The US is paying more in interest on its debt than it spends on defense. Moody’s has delivered its verdict. Read More »

Public Debt

Every year, thousands of companies merge or get acquired for trillions of dollars combined. Yet studies consistently find that most deals fail to deliver their promised value. This Fundamental breaks down how M&A actually works: why companies pursue deals, what due diligence really uncovers, why synergies are so often overpromised, and what separates the transactions that create lasting value from those that quietly destroy it.

Public Debt Read More »

Starship V3 lifts off: what this launch really says about the race for space

On May 22, 2026, SpaceX launched Starship V3, the most powerful rocket ever built. Behind the spectacle, three things were at stake at once: a race to land humans on the Moon before 2030, a stock market debut targeted for June 12 at a $1.75 trillion valuation, and the expansion of Starlink, the only division in the company already turning a profit.

Starship V3 lifts off: what this launch really says about the race for space Read More »

International Trade and Value Chains

Your smartphone was designed in the United States, built with components from Taiwan and South Korea, assembled in China, and shipped across three continents before reaching your hands. That journey is not an exception — it is how the modern economy works. Understanding global value chains, the return of protectionism, and the reshaping of supply chains is now essential for anyone trying to make sense of prices, jobs, and geopolitics.

International Trade and Value Chains Read More »

The Fed has a new chair. What should worry you is how he got there.

54–45: the narrowest confirmation vote in Federal Reserve history. But what should concern us isn’t the result. It’s what it took to get there: a criminal investigation, unprecedented political pressure, and a broken institutional norm whose consequences for rates and inflation are still entirely unresolved.

The Fed has a new chair. What should worry you is how he got there. Read More »